For those uninitiated into "The Mole," a contestant is planted by the producers of the show. The "mole"'s goal is to screw with the game, but make everyone think that someone else is the mole. Other players want everyone else to think THEY are the mole. Why? A quiz is given at the end of the game, leaving the least observant contestant to take the walk of shame.

The first episode is always taking a stab in the dark, because we have no background interaction with any of the contestants and are at the mercy of the show's editors to give us clues.

In the first mission, Alex, Ali, and Victoria were accused of being the mole because they sucked horribly. It doesn't seem like the easiest competition to throw, but Victoria did sit on the board well out of reach of the money bag. She's slightly suspicious; the others were just bad.

Marcie got nailed as the mole right off the bat by the group and got to decide which individual gets the reward. The team accumulates money and received $20,000 in the first mission. Marcie also chose who slept outside and who got to stay in a cushy cabin.  
Only one contestant, Nicole, threw a fit about it.

For the second mission, the biggest whiner (surprise!) Nicole had to split up her team. Did she know ahead of time that the biggest whiner controlled the second mission and was exempted? That's the first good clue and the easiest sabotage.

Coalitions are lame and just break up anyway. But Marcie and Paul formed the first one. Except everyone thinks that Paul is in a coalition with Alex, because Paul told Alex that Marcie was the mole. Marcie is gone and with her the first coalition. See what I mean about lame?

If I had to call it based on the first show, I'd say Mark is the mole. Why? The crybaby act about his kids could have easily been in conversations with the producers. It's not the first time the Mole has lost it completely in those interviews. Also, he's a history teacher and didn't know timeframes in history when guns, cameras, and blue jeans were invented? My top 3: Mark, Victoria, and Nicole.